Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.036945 0.043086 0.049843 0.057818 0.066962 0.077104 0.089192
2025-07-20 0.029173 0.037544 0.047601 0.060523 0.076630 0.095987 0.120948
2025-07-27 0.022327 0.031383 0.043146 0.059430 0.081254 0.109342 0.148051
2025-08-03 0.017760 0.027025 0.039926 0.059001 0.086237 0.123427 0.177684
2025-08-10 0.014052 0.023009 0.036305 0.057177 0.088725 0.134140 0.203818
2025-08-17 0.011389 0.019954 0.033439 0.055790 0.091356 0.145029 0.231141
2025-08-24 0.009627 0.017948 0.031768 0.055831 0.095926 0.159028 0.264350
2025-08-31 0.007977 0.015790 0.029450 0.054378 0.097765 0.168795 0.291805
2025-09-07 0.007228 0.015085 0.029455 0.056774 0.106151 0.189781 0.339258
2025-09-14 0.006282 0.013824 0.028249 0.056802 0.110357 0.204119 0.376926
2025-09-21 0.005319 0.012337 0.026372 0.055285 0.111518 0.213201 0.406269
2025-09-28 0.004613 0.011250 0.025090 0.054686 0.114232 0.225175 0.441694
2025-10-05 0.004326 0.011041 0.025587 0.057761 0.124484 0.252168 0.507519
2025-10-12 0.003979 0.010632 0.025604 0.059851 0.133044 0.276852 0.571441
2025-10-19 0.003417 0.009596 0.024089 0.058461 0.134330 0.287646 0.609829
2025-10-26 0.002991 0.008814 0.023017 0.057881 0.137211 0.301816 0.656081
2025-11-02 0.002552 0.007900 0.021482 0.056009 0.137039 0.309717 0.690393
2025-11-09 0.002203 0.007154 0.020230 0.054609 0.137713 0.319372 0.729091
2025-11-16 0.001969 0.006686 0.019602 0.054628 0.141611 0.336201 0.784257
2025-11-23 0.001705 0.006065 0.018465 0.053195 0.141896 0.345136 0.823202
2025-11-30 0.001618 0.005980 0.018770 0.055537 0.151576 0.375880 0.912531
2025-12-07 0.001456 0.005616 0.018233 0.055561 0.155509 0.393886 0.974899
2025-12-14 0.001266 0.005110 0.017200 0.054073 0.155420 0.402527 1.016680